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Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions.
January 6th, 2008 5:51 PM

In perhaps a sign of upcoming stability, indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions. Data provided by DQNews indicates that foreclosure activity is at record levels, but that financing with adjustable-rate mortgages and with multiple mortgages has generally declined this year. The data pertaining to interest rates suggests that the market has adjusted to the market slump and that a stabilization will take effect sooner rather than later. Down payment sizes and flipping rates are stable, while non-owner occupied buying activity has edged higher. All these are indicators that perhaps the market is in the early stages of a stabilization.

 

All Home Sales No Sold
Nov-06
No Sold
Nov-07
Percent
Change
Median
Nov-06
Median
Nov-07
Percent
Change
Los Angeles 8,274 4,468 -46.0% $517,000 $499,000 -3.5%
Orange 2,867 1,567 -45.3% $623,000 $582,750 -6.5%
Riverside 4,406 2,503 -43.2% $427,000 $356,500 -16.5%
San Bernardino 3,309 1,719 -48.1% $380,000 $330,000 -13.2%
San Diego 3,248 2,400 -26.1% $487,000 $440,000 -9.7%
Ventura 901 516 -42.7% $577,500 $521,250 -9.7%
SoCal 23,005 13,173 -42.7% $485,000 $435,000 -10.3%


Source: DQNews.com

See a more complete home resale activity report including Sales Count, Price Median, and Median Average Price per Square Foot. Data is availabe for individual cities.

 

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Posted by Hisham Labanieh on January 6th, 2008 5:51 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Fed Bank Cuts Key Interest Rate Again
January 30th, 2008 6:55 PM

Fed slashes rates to blunt economic slowdown

By Mark FelsenthalWed Jan 30, 6:20 PM ET

The Federal Reserve cut U.S. interest rates by a hefty half-percentage point on Wednesday as part of an ongoing aggressive effort to halt a sharp slowdown in an economy hit by a housing slump and a credit crunch.The Fed's action takes the bellwether federal funds rate to 3 percent, the lowest since June 2005, and comes just eight days after the central bank slashed rates by three-quarters of a point.

The cumulative 1.25 percentage point reduction in the interbank overnight rate in less than two weeks ranks among the most abrupt rate-cutting sprees in the modern history of the U.S. central bank. "The Fed has clearly decided that pulling out all stops to stabilize financial markets represents its main priority," said Lena Komileva, an economist at Tullett Prebon in London. The vote to lower rates, which was widely expected, was not unanimous. Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher dissented, preferring to hold borrowing costs steady.

U.S. stock markets initially rallied in response to the rate cut, but renewed credit crunch fears erased the gains by the close. The Dow Jones industrial average finished down 37 points at 12,442. The dollar also moved lower, as did prices for longer-dated U.S. bonds, which are sensitive to inflation.

VICIOUS CREDIT CYCLE

The Fed's action came on the heels of a government report showing that the economy grew at a weak 0.6 percent annual pace in the last three months of 2007 as consumers curbed spending and homebuilding plunged. Growth of 2.2 percent for all of 2007 marked the economy's weakest expansion in five years. At the same time, a report showing private-sector employers added three times as many jobs as expected in January and a report earlier this week showing a big rise in orders for U.S.-made durable goods pointed to some economic resilience.

With a burst of aggressive rate cuts, the Fed is displaying its predilection for taking preventive action to halt what might become a vicious cycle of tighter credit or financial market turmoil amplifying a slowdown in economic activity. "Financial markets remain under considerable stress, and credit has tightened further for some businesses and households," the Fed said. "Moreover, recent information indicates a deepening of the housing contraction as well as some softening in labor markets."

However, the central bank also repeated that it would be monitoring inflation developments carefully, even though it expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters. In August, rising defaults on U.S. subprime mortgages led to a seizing up of credit markets. While conditions have improved, aftershocks from the subprime mortgage crisis have continued and financial markets remain volatile. At the same time, the housing market continues to plummet. Sales of new single-family homes fell 4.7 percent in December to their lowest level since 1995, the government said on Monday. For all of 2007, sales were off a record 26 percent.

(Additional reporting by David Lawder in Washington and Jennifer Coogan in New York; Editing by Diane Craft)

 

For the complete article, click here


Posted by Hisham Labanieh on January 30th, 2008 6:55 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Are Home Sales Finally Starting to Rise?
January 3rd, 2008 12:55 AM

Are Home Sales Finally Starting to Rise?

The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing SFR, townhomes, and condos rose by 0.4 percent in November from October of the same year. This increase is welcome news but should also be taken with a grain of salt. The increase in existing sales came on the heels of a record low October and does not signal a shift in the real estate market necessarily. Rather, it seems as though it may be merely an isolated case in which buyers took advantage of the drop in interest rates during the month of November and perhaps were eager to finish their 'business' before the end of the 2007 calendar year.

Hisham Labanieh

First Choice Appraisals

 

Complete Article Below...

Existing-home sales rise modestly in November

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- In a hint of stability, sales of U.S. existing homes rose 0.4% in November to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 5 million, the National Association of Realtors reported Monday.
Sales of existing homes have been close to a 5 million annualized pace for three straight months, in contrast to sales of new homes, which have continued to plunge in recent months.
Sales of existing homes are down 20% in the past year and are down 31% from a peak of 7.21 million two years ago.
Despite the encouraging news on November sales, "it is still too soon to talk about stabilization in the housing market," said John Ryding, chief economist for Bear Stearns. "This is not the bottom yet," said Harm Bandholz, chief economist for UniCredit Markets.
Including both new and existing homes, total sales of single-family homes fell 0.7% in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.05 million, the lowest in 10 years.
Inventories of unsold homes on the market declined by 3.6%, representing a 10.3-month supply at the current sales pace, compared with 10.7 months in October. Inventories typically drop in the autumn.
"Inventories of unsold homes remain a concern," Bandholz said. "It will take time and lower house prices to get rid of these inventories."
The median sales price fell 3.3% from a year ago to $210,200.
November sales were in line with the 4.99 million annual pace expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch.
Sales jumped 10.3% in the West region, reversing part of the 22% drop between July and October. Sales were unchanged in the Midwest. Sales fell 2% in the South and fell 3.3% in the Northeast.
Sales of single-family homes rose 0.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.40 million. Condominium-unit and co-op sales fell 1.6% to a 600,000 annualized pace. Condo sales are the lowest since November 2001.
Inventories of single-family homes declined to a 9.9-month supply from 10.4 months in October.
The federal government should take two bold steps to rescue the housing market, said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the real estate trade group:
  • The government should allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase larger loans.
  • The Federal Reserve should lower interest rates by at least three-quarters of a percentage point.

Posted by Hisham Labanieh on January 3rd, 2008 12:55 AMPost a Comment (0)

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